mstdn.science is one of the many independent Mastodon servers you can use to participate in the fediverse.
http://mstdn.science is a place for scientists and science enthusiasts to discuss research and topics surrounding our work.

Server stats:

656
active users

Population rate vs raw numbers

This is a good example of why it is useful to understand the importance of population *rate* and not just look at raw numbers. The first graph shows raw numbers and the second graph population rate. 🧵1/

If I take the data and plot all the ages together, you can at least see all of the age groups at the same time but it is just the raw numbers.

The graph shows that the # of visits for the age 0-3 group is similar to the 18-54 age group near the top of the graph, and the 80+ age group numbers are very low, similar to the age 12-17 group. 3/

But you aren't seeing the full picture, this is where population rate comes in. The next graph uses the same data but instead of raw numbers shows the rate per 100,000 population in each age group.

You can see with population rate the age 0-3 group is far and above the highest level of all groups while the 18-54 age group which had similar raw numbers is actually the lowest rate. 4/

Jeff Gilchrist

Why? The 0-3 age group represents only 3.75% of the population in Ottawa but had the same # of visits as the 18-54 age group which represents 49.9% of the population so a much higher percentage of the 0-3 age group is being impacted by respiratory infections resulting in ED visits.

Now you can see the real impact on age, where age 0-3 have the highest ED visit rate followed by age 4-11, and then age 80+ which get hidden when you only look at the raw provided numbers from OPH. 5/

Just to make things a little simpler, the last graph shows the # per 100k population as a stacked percentage so you can easily see which age groups are impacted the most.

The youngest 0-3 age group throughout the year accounts for more than 50% of all respiratory related ED visits per 100K population despite being only 3.75% of the population. 6/

I will keep these new population rate versions of the graphs updated on my website if people want to get up to date versions over time ( covid.gilchrist.ca/Ottawa.html ). 7/

@jeffgilchrist

Thanks for such a clear explanation. Looking at the data this way is very helpful.

@jeffgilchrist

Wow, that's a lot of respiratory distress being inflicted on the poor little 0-3s.