It is estimated that currently 1 in 13 people are infected in Ontario which means there is a 55% chance at least one person in your group of 10 is infected. This jumps to a 70% chance in groups of 15, 86.5% chance with 25 people and 98% chance at that office Christmas party of 50 people.
Estimate from ( https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index/ ) and calculator available at ( https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1qokCvvi6oRYRCKtrZuyeUmb5mt4LC9o8nKHLKoAUVAY/edit?usp=sharing ). 1/
Did you know that with transmission levels this high, 100 people singing indoors for 90 minutes with no precautions is estimated to be the same COVID health risk as each person smoking 1,080 cigarettes ( https://covid19resources.ca/covid-hazard-index/ )? 2/
@Wikisteff this looks like your risk estimator?
With almost record levels of transmission going on, please be extra careful during the holidays. Statistics Canada just released their latest report on Long COVID and found by people's 3rd COVID infection, 38% reported Long COVID symptoms ( https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/pub/75-006-x/2023001/article/00015-eng.htm ).
"Almost half of those still experiencing symptoms reported they have not seen any improvement in symptoms over time." 3/
"Even mild cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection are at risk of becoming long covid, and these results suggest the threat increases with multiple infections." -
https://twitter.com/ChiefSciCan/status/1733865086748414173