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Jeff Gilchrist

Novavax & Moderna XBB.1.5 Fall Booster Performance

This thread provides some data from preprint studies about how well the updated and performs on recent including some details on 🧵 1/

The one page easier to share version of this thread can be found at: threadreaderapp.com/thread/170

If you want to learn more about how Novavax differs and some benefits it has compared to the mRNA vaccines including info about mixing mRNA and Novavax for even better results, see this thread ( mstdn.science/@jeffgilchrist/1 ). 2/

While Pfizer has only put out a press releases about the lab performance of their fall boosters, Novavax has recently made their preprint study available for people to see the full details ( biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/20 ). H/T: @daniel_e_park 3/

bioRxiv · XBB.1.5 Spike Protein COVID-19 Vaccine Induces Broadly Neutralizing and Cellular Immune Responses Against EG.5.1 and Emerging XBB VariantsMonovalent SARS-CoV-2 Prototype (Wuhan-Hu-1) and bivalent (Prototype + BA.4/5) COVID-19 vaccines have demonstrated a waning of vaccine-mediated immunity highlighted by lower neutralizing antibody responses against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron XBB sub-variants. The reduction of humoral immunity due to the rapid evolution of SARS-CoV-2 has signaled the need for an update to vaccine composition. A strain change for all authorized/approved vaccines to a monovalent composition with Omicron subvariant XBB.1.5 has been supported by the WHO, EMA, and FDA. Here, we demonstrate that immunization with a monovalent recombinant spike protein COVID-19 vaccine (Novavax, Inc.) based on the subvariant XBB.1.5 induces cross-neutralizing antibodies against XBB.1.5, XBB.1.16, XBB.2.3, EG.5.1, and XBB.1.16.6 subvariants, promotes higher pseudovirus neutralizing antibody titers than bivalent (Prototype + XBB.1.5) vaccine, induces SARS-CoV-2 spike-specific Th1-biased CD4+ T-cell responses against XBB subvariants, and robustly boosts antibody responses in mice and nonhuman primates primed with a variety of monovalent and bivalent vaccines. Together, these data support updating the Novavax vaccine to a monovalent XBB.1.5 formulation for the 2023-2024 COVID-19 vaccination campaign. ### Competing Interest Statement All authors are employees of Novavax, Inc., and may hold stock in Novavax, Inc.

Looking at the methodology is important as it tells you what kind of previous variant exposure the test subjects had which helps you understand if it remotely resembles what your previous exposure experience may be.

The Novavax fall booster is based on the XBB.1.5 "Kraken" variant and testing was done on mice and non-human primates in the lab so their results are estimates of how the updated vaccine could perform. 4/

** Pseudoviruses **

The other thing to point out is that the tests are using pseudovirus which is an approximation of the real thing so they can be conducted in lower biosafety level labs. Pseudoviruses don't continue to replicate making them safer to study and their surface is replaced with those of the SARS-CoV-2 virus to help get insight into how it might infect cells ( the-scientist.com/news-opinion ). 5/

The Scientist Magazine®What Pseudoviruses Bring to the Study of SARS-CoV-2Engineered viruses that don't replicate provide a tractable model for scientists to safely study SARS-CoV-2, including research into vaccine efficacy and emerging variants.

Unfortunately pseudoviruses can't be used to fully simulate how the virus propagates or study mechanisms which the virus uses to circumvent the body's immune system (which COVID-19 uses multiple tricks to do - mstdn.science/@jeffgilchrist/1 ). 6/

Interesting side note that researchers are required to use pseudovirus because handling the real virus is dangerous to study even in a lab. Meanwhile the real virus is routinely found spreading throughout poorly ventilated indoor public spaces like schools and offices without any safety standards in place.

You can learn more about additional layers of protection to help prevent you from being exposed to pathogens in the first place in this thread ( mstdn.science/@jeffgilchrist/1 ). 7/

Many of the scenarios that Novavax used for the updated vaccine was the test subject first getting two bivalent (original + BA.5) doses (which were never commercially available to the public) and then one updated XBB.1.5 booster. People who got one mRNA bivalent BA.5 vaccine dose which was commercially available and also infected with a BA.5 variant may have an immune exposure in the same ballpark as this scenario. 8/

** Novavax Results **

Thankfully Novavax also included results with non-human primates were they tested a scenario with 2 original doses of vaccine and then a single XBB.1.5 booster which may be more likely for people who never got any kind of bivalent vaccine or Omicron COVID-19 infection. 9/

The good news is that despite there being multiple newer variants after XBB.1.5, one dose of the updated Novavax booster elicits antibodies that can neutralize XBB.1.5 as expected but also XBB.1.16 "Arcturus", XBB.2.3 "Acrux" and the EG.5.1 "Eris" variant which is currently dominant in many places. 10/

"Importantly, the XBB.1.5 booster was immunogenic irrespective of priming regimen, as the general population includes individuals primed with diverse vaccination and infection backgrounds." 11/

In Ontario, the variant families currently circulating the most are EG.5.1 "Eris", followed by XBB.1.9* "Hyperion", XABB.1.16* "Arcturus", still some XBB.1.5* "Kraken", XBB.2.3* "Acrux" and FL.1.5.1* "Fornax". Visualization tool was created by @mike_honey_
12/

** Moderna Results **

Moderna also released a preprint of their updated XBB.1.5 booster performance with pseudovirus lab test results involving humans test subjects ( medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/20 ). 13/

medRxiv · Safety and Immunogenicity of XBB.1.5-Containing mRNA VaccinesBackground Subvariants of the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) omicron XBB-lineage have the potential to escape immunity provided by prior infection or vaccination. For Covid-19 immunizations beginning in the Fall 2023, the U.S. FDA has recommended updating to a monovalent omicron XBB.1.5-containing vaccine. Methods In this ongoing, phase 2/3 study participants were randomized 1:1 to receive 50-µg doses of mRNA-1273.815 monovalent (50-µg omicron XBB.1.5 spike mRNA) or mRNA-1273.231 bivalent (25-µg omicron XBB.1.5 and 25-µg omicron BA.4/BA.5 spike mRNAs) vaccines, administered as 5th doses, to adults who previously received a primary series and 3rd dose of an original mRNA coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) vaccine, and a 4th dose of a bivalent (omicron BA.4/BA.5 and original SARS-CoV-2) vaccine. Interim safety and immunogenicity data 15 days post-vaccination are presented. Results In April 2023, participants received mRNA-1273.815 (n=50) and mRNA-1273.231 (n=51). The median intervals from the prior dose of BA.4/BA.5-containing bivalent vaccine were 8.2 and 8.3 months for the mRNA-1273.815 and mRNA-1273.231 groups, respectively. Both vaccines increased neutralizing antibody (nAb) geometric mean titers against all variants tested at day 15 post-booster nAb compared to pre-booster levels. Geometric mean fold-rises from pre-booster titers after the monovalent booster were numerically higher against XBB.1.5, XBB.1.16 and SARS-CoV-2 (D614G) than those of the bivalent booster and were comparable against BA.4/BA.5 and BQ1.1 variants for both vaccines. The monovalent vaccine also elicited nAb responses against omicron XBB.2.3.2, EG.5.1, FL.1.5.1 and BA.2.86 that were similar to those against XBB.1.5 in a subset (n=20) of participants. The occurrence of solicited adverse reactions and unsolicited adverse events were overall similar to those previously reported for the original mRNA-1273 50-µg and omicron BA.4/BA.5-containing bivalent mRNA-1273 vaccines. Conclusion In this interim analysis, XBB.1.5-containing monovalent and bivalent vaccines elicited potent neutralizing responses against variants of the omicron XBB-lineage (XBB.1.5, XBB.1.6, XBB.2.3.2, EG.5.1, and FL.1.5.1) as well as the recently emerged BA.2.86 variant. The safety profile of the XBB.1.5-containing vaccine was consistent with those of prior vaccines. These results overall indicate that the XBB.1.5-containing mRNA-1273.815 vaccine has the potential to provide protection against these emerging variants and support the Covid-19 vaccine update in 2023-2024 to a monovalent XBB.1.5-containing vaccine. ### Competing Interest Statement JW, BE, and AB have nothing to disclose; DCM reports funding from Moderna, Inc. for pseudovirus neutralization assays performed in the study; LRB is a co-primary principal investigator of the COVE trial funded by NIAID and conducted in conjunction with Moderna, Inc. SC, NMcG, BG, KW, DKE, AN, DL, LEA, JF, WD, JMM and RD are employees of Moderna, Inc. and may hold stock/stock options in the company. JET is a Moderna consultant. ### Clinical Trial NCT04927065 ### Funding Statement This study was funded by Moderna, Inc., Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA. ### Author Declarations I confirm all relevant ethical guidelines have been followed, and any necessary IRB and/or ethics committee approvals have been obtained. Yes The details of the IRB/oversight body that provided approval or exemption for the research described are given below: The central Institutional Review Board (Advarra, Inc., 6100 Merriweather Drive, Columbia, MD 21044) approved the protocol and consent forms. I confirm that all necessary patient/participant consent has been obtained and the appropriate institutional forms have been archived, and that any patient/participant/sample identifiers included were not known to anyone (e.g., hospital staff, patients or participants themselves) outside the research group so cannot be used to identify individuals. Yes I understand that all clinical trials and any other prospective interventional studies must be registered with an ICMJE-approved registry, such as ClinicalTrials.gov. I confirm that any such study reported in the manuscript has been registered and the trial registration ID is provided (note: if posting a prospective study registered retrospectively, please provide a statement in the trial ID field explaining why the study was not registered in advance). Yes I have followed all appropriate research reporting guidelines, such as any relevant EQUATOR Network research reporting checklist(s) and other pertinent material, if applicable. Yes As the trial is ongoing, access to patient-level data and supporting clinical documents with qualified external researchers may be available upon request and subject to review once the trial is complete.

Their participants all received 3 doses of the original Moderna mRNA vaccine and then 1 dose of the Moderna bivalent original/BA.5 booster dose. Participants then either received a monovalent XBB.1.5 booster or a bivalent XBB.1.5/BA.5 booster with a median time of 8 months from their 4th dose. They compared participant blood sera immune responses just before they got their updated booster with 15 days after the updated booster. 14/

Their first set of results looked at XBB.1.5, XBB.1.16 and older variants. The green bar graphs on the left are people who received a monovalent XBB.1.5 vaccine dose which is the one being made available to the public and the results to look at. While there was little neutralization activity of XBB.1.5 and XBB.1.16 before the updated booster, that increased significantly after the XBB.1.5 booster dose. 15/

Moderna also released results with newer variants using a different pseudovirus and only a subset of their participants. Similarly, the vaccine showed significantly increased neutralization levels for XBB.2.3.2, EG.5.1, FL.1.5.1 and BA.2.86 after the booster dose.

Moderna found that vaccine adverse events were similar to those reported with their original and bivalent vaccines.16/

** Immune Imprinting **

A number of people have been asking if the latest variants have changed so much, do we just need one booster dose of the updated vaccine or do we need two doses to be effective?

@yunlong_cao discovered people needed more than one exposure of Omicron to generate *new* Omicron specific memory immune cells instead of just recalling the antibodies for the original COVID-19 virus elicited by the original vaccines ( twitter.com/yunlong_cao/status ). 17/

X (formerly Twitter)Yunlong Richard Cao on XFirst, let's revisit the major concept of SARS-CoV-2 immune imprinting: When we experience a variant-vaccine boosting or breakthrough infection, our immune system will mainly recall WT vaccination-induced memory B cells and rarely produces variant-specific antibodies. 2/n

Novavax found that having 2 doses of bivalent vaccine instead of just the original resulted in even higher levels of neutralization for all of the latest variants since having two BA.5 exposures helped. Novavax never released a BA.5 bivalent vaccine so people would have had to be infected with one or two Omicron variants to get a similar kind of exposure. 19/

While it seems the updated Novavax and Moderna XBB.1.5 vaccines elicit antibodies that can neutralize these latest variants, it still remains to be seen what percentage of those XBB.1.5 specific antibodies become memory immune cells after just one booster dose to be recalled for the next exposure. 20/

The imprinting studies have looked at infection and vaccines (but not Novavax specifically) so I'm not sure if the Matrix-M adjuvant helps encourage the immune system to create a larger amount of new XBB specific memory cells or not for people without previous exposure. 21/